Czibik Ágnes — Fazekas Mihály — Németh Nándor — Semjén András — Tóth István János

Labour-demand forecasting based on business expectations

Lessons learned from two consecutive enterprise surveys

The article examines the possible role of enterprise surveys in forecasting labour market processes. Based on two large-sample surveys, the authors examine the extent to which firms of different types are open to predicting their future manpower requirements for different time horizons. The authors explore the firms\' characteristics and planning features determining the maximum time horizon and accuracy of their manpower forecasts. These factors seem crucial to determining the scope and limitations of enterprise surveys in producing forecasts for aggregate manpower needs of the economy or predicting labour demand by occupations and qualifications. The authors also investigate the ways firms perceive the qualitative changes in job content; and the managers perception of changes in qualification and skill requirements by job categories in their own firm and in the economy as a whole.

LX. évf., 2013. February (189 - 223. O.), Study

(PDF format, 811.12 kB)